Frontmezzjunkies reports: Oscar Night Predictions
By Ross
So, let’s play the game. I haven’t really seen many of the films. Definitely not all, so for a lot of these, they are just uneducated guesses, with a few hopes and wants in there. None of them I’ll fully invested in. I’ve been wanting to see many of these films, but I haven’t had the chance. Theatre always gets in the way. Or writing about theatre. But I’ve seen a few. Liked a few, and loved a couple of them. So the game is really a guessing game, but that’s half the fun on Oscar Night. So, let’s play:
For each prediction that I guess correctly, I’ll get 2 pts. 1 pt if it’s my ‘maybe’ pick. What score will you get?
⭐️ = my prediction of the winner
🤩 = maybe might win
🏆 = did win
Best Picture
“Anora” (Neon) 🤩
“The Brutalist” (A24) ⭐️
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)
“Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios)
“The Substance” (Mubi)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Will Win: “The Brutalist” (A24)
Could Win: “Anora” or maybe even “Conclave”
Director
Jacques Audiard
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Sean Baker 🤩
“Anora” (Neon)
Brady Corbet ⭐️
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Coralie Fargeat
“The Substance” (Mubi)
James Mangold
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Will Win: Brady Corbet (“The Brutalist”)
Could Win: Sean Baker (“Anora”)
Actor
Adrien Brody ⭐️
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Timothée Chalamet
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Colman Domingo
“Sing Sing” (A24)
Ralph Fiennes 🤩
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Sebastian Stan
“The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)
Will Win: Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”)
Could Win: Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”)
Actress
Cynthia Erivo
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Karla Sofía Gascón
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Mikey Madison
“Anora” (Neon)
Demi Moore 🤩
“The Substance” (Mubi)
Fernanda Torres ⭐️
“I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Will Win: Fernanda Torres (“I’m Still Here”)
Could Win: Demi Moore (“The Substance”)
Supporting Actor
Yura Borisov
“Anora” (Neon)
🏆 Kieran Culkin ⭐️
“A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
Edward Norton
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Guy Pearce 🤩
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Jeremy Strong
“The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)
🏆 Will Win: Kieran Culkin (“A Real Pain”)
Could Win: Jeremy Strong (“The Apprentice”) or Guy Pearce (“The Brutalist”)
Supporting Actress
Monica Barbaro
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Ariana Grande
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Felicity Jones
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Isabella Rossellini 🤩
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Zoe Saldaña ⭐️
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Will Win: Zoe Saldaña (“Emilia Pérez”)
Could Win: Isabella Rossellini (“Conclave”)
Original Screenplay
🏆 “Anora” (Neon) 🤩
Sean Baker
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold
“A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures) ⭐️
Jesse Eisenberg
“September 5” (Paramount Pictures)
Moritz Binder, Tim Fehlbaum, Alex David
“The Substance” (Mubi)
Coralie Fargeat
Will Win: “A Real Pain” (Jesse Eisenberg)
🏆 Could Win: “Anora” (Sean Baker)
Adapted Screenplay
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Jay Cocks, James Mangold
🏆 “Conclave” (Focus Features) ⭐️
Peter Straughan
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Jacques Audiard
“Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios)
RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes
“Sing Sing” (A24) 🤩
Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John “Divine G” Whitfield
🏆 Will Win: “Conclave” (Peter Straughn)
Could Win: “Sing Sing” (Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John “Divine G” Whitfield)
Animated Feature
🏆 “Flow” (Janus Films/Sideshow)
“Inside Out 2” (Pixar) 🤩
“Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Films)
“Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” (Netflix)
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation) ⭐️
Will Win: “The Wild Robot” (Chris Sanders, Jeff Hermann)
Could Win: “Inside Out 2” (Kelsey Mann, Mark Nielsen)
Production Design
“The Brutalist” (A24) 🤩
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures) ⭐️
Will Win: “Wicked” (Nathan Crowley, Lee Sandales)
Could Win: “The Brutalist” (Judy Becker, Patricia Cuccia)
Cinematography
“The Brutalist” (A24) ⭐️
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Maria” (Netflix)
“Nosferatu” (Focus Features) 🤩
Will Win: “The Brutalist” (Lol Crawley)
Could Win: “Nosferatu” (Jarin Blaschke)
Costume Design
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
“Nosferatu” (Focus Features) 🤩
🏆 “Wicked” (Universal Pictures) ⭐️
🏆 Will Win: “Wicked” (Paul Tazewell)
Could Win: “Nosferatu” (Linda Muir)
Film Editing
“Anora” (Neon) 🤩
“The Brutalist” (A24)
“Conclave” (Focus Features) ⭐️
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Will Win: “Conclave” (Nick Emerson)
Could Win: “Anora” (Sean Baker)
Makeup and Hairstyling
“A Different Man” (A24)
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
🏆 “The Substance” (Mubi) ⭐️
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures) 🤩
🏆 Will Win: “The Substance” (Pierre-Olivier Persin, Stéphanie Guillon and Marilyne Scarselli)
Could Win: “Wicked” (Frances Hannon, Laura Blount and Sarah Nuth)
Sound
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures) 🤩
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ⭐️
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
Will Win: “Dune: Part Two” (Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill)
Could Win: “A Complete Unknown” (Tod A. Maitland, Donald Sylvester, Ted Caplan, Paul Massey and David Giammarco)
Visual Effects
“Alien: Romulus” (20th Century Studios)
“Better Man” (Paramount Pictures)
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ⭐️
“Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (20th Century Studios) 🤩
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Will Win: “Dune: Part Two” (Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer)
Could Win: “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (Erik Winquist, Stephen Unterfranz, Paul Story and Rodney Burke)
Original Score
“The Brutalist” (A24) ⭐️
“Conclave” (Focus Features) 🤩
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
Will Win: “The Brutalist” (Daniel Blumberg)
Could Win: “Conclave” (Volker Bertelmann)
Original Song
“Never Too Late” from “Elton John: Never Too Late” (Walt Disney Pictures)
“El Mal” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) ⭐️
“Mi Camino” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“The Journey” from “The Six Triple Eight” (Netflix) 🤩
“Like a Bird” from “Sing Sing” (A24)
Will Win: “El Mal” from “Emilia Pérez” (Jacques Audiard, Clément Ducol and Camille)
Could Win: “The Journey” from “The Six Triple Eight” (Diane Warren)
Documentary Feature
“Black Box Diaries” (MTV Documentary Films)
“No Other Land” (No U.S. Distribution) ⭐️
“Porcelain War” (Picturehouse) 🤩
“Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat” (Kino Lorber)
“Sugarcane” (National Geographic Documentary Films)
Will Win: “No Other Land” (Basel Adra, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal and Yuval Abraham)
Could Win: “Porcelain War” (Brendan Bellomo, Slava Leontyev, Aniela Sidorska and Paula DuPre’ Pesmen)
International Feature
“Emilia Pérez” from France (Netflix) 🤩
“Flow” from Latvia (Janus Films/Sideshow)
“The Girl with the Needle” from Denmark (Mubi)
“I’m Still Here” from Brazil (Sony Pictures Classics) ⭐️
“The Seed of the Sacred Fig” from Germany (Neon)
Will Win: “I’m Still Here” (Brazil)
Could Win: “Emilia Pérez” (France)
Animated Short
“Beautiful Men” (Miyu Distribution) ⭐️
🏆 “In the Shadow of Cypress” (Voce Spettacolo)
“Magic Candies” (Toei Animation) 🤩
“Wander to Wonder” (Bantam Film)
“Yuck!” (Miyu Distribution)
Will Win: “Beautiful Men” (Nicolas Keppens and Brecht Van Elslande)
Could Win: “Magic Candies” (Daisuke Nishio and Takashi Washio)
Documentary Short
“Death by Numbers” (Cuomo Cole Productions)
“I Am Ready, Warden” (MTV Documentary Films) 🤩
“Incident” (Hypnotic Pictures)
“Instruments of a Beating Heart” (The New York Times OpDocs/Cineric Creative)
“The Only Girl in the Orchestra” (Netflix) ⭐️
Will Win: “The Only Girl in the Orchestra” (Netflix)
Could Win: “I Am Ready, Warden” (Smriti Mundhra and Maya Gnyp)
Live Action Short
“Anuja” (Netflix) 🤩
“I’m Not a Robot” (The New Yorker) ⭐️
“The Last Ranger” (Six Feet Films)
“A Lien” (No U.S. Distribution)
“The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent” (Manifest)
Will Win: “I’m Not a Robot” (Victoria Warmerdam and Trent)
Could Win: “Anuja” (Adam J. Graves and Suchitra Mattai)