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You are at:Home » The Netflix Movie Hits and Flops of 2026
The Netflix Movie Hits and Flops of 2026
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The Netflix Movie Hits and Flops of 2026

27 January 20269 Mins Read

Picture Credits: Netflix

2025 was a year of extreme contradictions for Netflix’s original film slate. On one hand, we witnessed the resurrection of 90s comedy icons and the return of Cameron Diaz. We saw some “prestige” films putting up blockbuster numbers and KPOP Demon Hunters breaking every conventional rule. But beyond the headlines, what was actually a hit?

To determine the true winners and losers, we can’t just look at the marketing hype. We are using a dual-method approach: the Weekly Top 10 numbers (for launch performance) and the comprehensive Engagement Report (for long-term tail). By cross-referencing these two datasets, we can see not just what people clicked on, but what they actually stuck with.

Here is the definitive look at Netflix’s biggest movie hits and flops of 2025.


Best and Worst Movie Launches of 2025

Following in the footsteps of Frederic, our former resident data expert, we’re going to use the first 7-day and 14-day metric to put this launch list together. The 14-day metric is calculated by summing the actual views from the first full week and two full weeks and adding a weighted two-thirds (approx. 67%) of the second and third week’s views to account for the remaining four days (Mon–Thu), assuming viewership is heavier earlier in the week.

Title Release Date Weeks in Top 10s First 7-Days First 14-Days
Back in Action 2025-01-17 6 78,000,000 105,866,667
Happy Gilmore 2 2025-07-25 5 73,900,000 97,300,000
Straw 2025-06-06 5 57,900,000 87,533,333
Frankenstein 2025-11-07 5 51,633,333 72,633,333
Havoc 2025-04-25 6 47,466,667 62,366,667
The Life List 2025-03-28 6 43,866,667 62,333,333
A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE 2025-10-24 4 43,166,667 60,500,000
My Oxford Year 2025-08-01 4 42,733,333 59,133,333
The Old Guard 2 2025-07-02 4 42,071,429 55,271,429
The Woman in Cabin 10 2025-10-10 5 41,266,667 57,900,000
The Electric State 2025-03-14 4 40,200,000 52,766,667
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery 2025-12-12 5 34,133,333 48,966,667
Madea’s Destination Wedding 2025-07-11 4 30,100,000 38,666,667
Kinda Pregnant 2025-02-05 3 29,014,286 40,028,571
Nonnas 2025-05-09 5 28,633,333 40,900,000
The Wrong Paris 2025-09-12 4 27,333,333 39,666,667
KPop Demon Hunters 2025-06-20 31 25,333,333 48,533,333
Champagne Problems 2025-11-19 3 24,614,286 36,385,714
The Thursday Murder Club 2025-08-28 4 24,480,952 38,209,524
Plankton: The Movie 2025-03-07 4 23,233,333 31,366,667
My Secret Santa 2025-12-03 4 22,728,571 36,414,286
Jingle Bell Heist 2025-11-26 2 22,271,429 –
Ruth & Boaz 2025-09-26 3 19,700,000 27,133,333
Night Always Comes 2025-08-15 2 19,500,000 23,600,000
In Your Dreams 2025-11-14 4 19,366,667 31,100,000
La Dolce Villa 2025-02-13 3 19,242,857 29,228,571
Fear Street: Prom Queen 2025-05-23 2 16,366,667 –
A Merry Little Ex-Mas 2025-11-12 3 15,371,429 22,942,857
The Twits 2025-10-17 3 11,300,000 16,200,000
Jay Kelly 2025-12-05 2 11,100,000 –
Train Dreams 2025-11-21 2 10,800,000 –
Goodbye June 2025-12-24 2 8,914,286 –
Meet the Khumalos 2025-04-11 2 8,600,000 –
Ballad of a Small Player 2025-10-29 2 8,300,000 –
Semi-Soeter 2025-06-20 2 5,733,333 –
The Rats: A Witcher Tale 2025-10-30 0   –
Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl 2025-01-06 1 – –
The Witcher: Sirens of the Deep 2025-02-11 1 – –
Love and Wine 2025-12-05 0 – –
Dr. Seuss’s The Sneetches 2025-11-03 1 – –
Fixed 2025-08-13 1 – –
Steve 2025-10-03 0 – –
Dining With The Kapoors 2025-11-21 0 – –
NOUVELLE VAGUE 2025-11-14 0 – –

 


Netflix Engagement Report 2025 Numbers

Next up, let’s take a look at the Netflix Engagement Report numbers, which report all views throughout 2025. Of course, doing that number on its own can be a bit misleading, given that viewership on Netflix movies tends to be frontloaded (ie, they do most of their business in the first few weeks, as outlined above)  

Title Release Date Days on Netflix Total Views Daily Average
KPop Demon Hunters 2025-06-20 194 518,300,000 2,671,649
Back in Action 2025-01-17 348 190,300,000 546,839
Happy Gilmore 2 2025-07-25 159 135,100,000 849,686
Straw 2025-06-06 208 122,300,000 587,981
The Life List 2025-03-28 278 118,000,000 424,460
Havoc 2025-04-25 250 112,400,000 449,600
Frankenstein 2025-11-07 54 97,600,000 1,807,407
The Electric State 2025-03-14 292 87,000,000 297,945
My Oxford Year 2025-08-01 152 86,100,000 566,447
The Old Guard 2 2025-07-02 182 81,500,000 447,802
The Woman in Cabin 10 2025-10-10 82 80,400,000 980,488
A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE 2025-10-24 68 75,500,000 1,110,294
Nonnas 2025-05-09 236 73,500,000 311,441
The Thursday Murder Club 2025-08-28 125 68,800,000 550,400
Plankton: The Movie 2025-03-07 299 68,400,000 228,763
Kinda Pregnant 2025-02-05 329 66,500,000 202,128
La Dolce Villa 2025-02-13 321 63,800,000 198,754
Madea’s Destination Wedding 2025-07-11 173 60,300,000 348,555
The Wrong Paris 2025-09-12 110 58,000,000 527,273
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery 2025-12-12 19 56,300,000 2,963,158
Champagne Problems 2025-11-19 42 49,800,000 1,185,714
My Secret Santa 2025-12-03 28 49,600,000 1,771,429
In Your Dreams 2025-11-14 47 47,300,000 1,006,383
Jingle Bell Heist 2025-11-26 35 40,300,000 1,151,429
A Merry Little Ex-Mas 2025-11-12 49 39,200,000 800,000
Ruth & Boaz 2025-09-26 96 37,100,000 386,458
Night Always Comes 2025-08-15 138 31,300,000 226,812
Fear Street: Prom Queen 2025-05-23 222 27,500,000 123,874
The Twits 2025-10-17 75 22,000,000 293,333
Meet the Khumalos 2025-04-11 264 18,200,000 68,939
Jay Kelly 2025-12-05 26 18,000,000 692,308
Train Dreams 2025-11-21 40 17,700,000 442,500
Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl 2025-01-06 359 17,300,000 48,189
Ballad of a Small Player 2025-10-29 63 15,300,000 242,857
The Rats: A Witcher Tale 2025-10-30 62 14,000,000 225,806
Goodbye June 2025-12-24 7 11,000,000 1,571,429
The Witcher: Sirens of the Deep 2025-02-11 323 9,400,000 29,102
The Biggest Fan 2025-05-01 244 8,300,000 34,016
Semi-Soeter 2025-06-20 194 8,100,000 41,753
Love and Wine 2025-12-05 26 6,500,000 250,000
Dr. Seuss’s The Sneetches 2025-11-03 58 5,800,000 100,000
Fixed 2025-08-13 140 5,200,000 37,143
Steve 2025-10-03 89 5,000,000 56,180
Dining With The Kapoors 2025-11-21 40 3,400,000 85,000
NOUVELLE VAGUE 2025-11-14 47 100,000 2,128

The Analysis: Anomalies, Blockbusters, and Disasters

Let’s pick out the blindingly obvious outlier on the first list compared to the second. Using the launch measurement, KPOP Demon Hunters looks barely a hit, but that’s because early on, it was not a hit. Its story didn’t really begin until week 3 and onward, when it became the behemoth it eventually became, defying gravity and all conventional ways a Netflix movie should behave. Generally speaking, viewership is stacked upfront and decays dramatically. KPOP Demon Hunters didn’t behave like this at all. A true unicorn, and the question becomes: will Netflix ever be able to replicate this again?

However, if we look strictly at “heat,” there is a hidden champion on this list. While it launched late in the year, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery is statistically the hottest movie of 2025. Looking at the “Daily Average” in the Engagement Report, the film is generating 2.96 million views per day. That is higher than any other movie on the list—including the unicorn KPOP Demon Hunters (2.67M). It didn’t just have a good launch; pound-for-pound, it was attracting eyeballs faster than anything else this year.

Legs vs. Hype: Back in Action and Happy Gilmore 2

We need to talk about the difference between a “launch” and a “hit.” Both Back in Action and Happy Gilmore 2 dominate the charts, but the data shows they behaved very differently.

Back in Action had the biggest launch of the year (106M views in 14 days) and finished with 190M views. That means it generated roughly 84 million views after its launch window. Compare that to Happy Gilmore 2, which launched to 97M but finished with 135M—meaning it only found 38 million views post-launch. Happy Gilmore 2 was a burst of nostalgia that evaporated quickly; Back in Action had actual legs, continuing to find new audiences for months.

First Look Photos For Straw (3)First Look Photos For Straw (3)

Straw. Taraji P. Henson as Janiyah Wiltkinson in Straw. Cr. Chip Bergmann/Perry Well Films 2/Courtesy Netflix ©2025

A special shoutout to Tyler Perry, too, whose movie STRAW is one of Netflix’s biggest hits of the year and probably one of the most “efficient” (taking into account budget), and it was helped by the movie going absolutely bonkers viral on TikTok, which led to an explosion early in its life on the streamer.

Prestige or Blockbuster?

Elsewhere, Guillermo del Toro’s Frankenstein blurred the line between awards bait and summer blockbuster. Calling it a “prestige play” almost does it a disservice. With a massive 72.6M launch, it significantly outperformed pure action titles like Havoc, The Life List, and The Old Guard 2. 

At the other end of the spectrum, Cillian Murphy’s STEVE stands as the biggest whiff among the awards hopefuls, ranking among the lowest performers of the year. Ballad of a Small Player and Jay Kelly also posted lukewarm numbers, the latter notably failing to deliver Adam Sandler’s usual draw. Train Dreams did not initially generate significant viewership either, although that may change following its Oscar nominations. One notable outlier is NOUVELLE VAGUE, which we debated including at all, given that it launched in just a single Netflix region.

The Life List Whats New On Netflix Uk This Week April 11ThThe Life List Whats New On Netflix Uk This Week April 11Th

Picture: The Life List – Netflix

Romantic comedies continue to do well on Netflix, with The Life List ultimately taking home the prize as the most-watched of the year. However, the data confirms a specific winner in the “Christmas Cannibalization” battle. Despite launching a week later than Jingle Bell Heist, the rom-com My Secret Santa overtook it in total views (49.6M vs 40.3M). It seems the rom-com formula had a higher ceiling this year than the star-driven heist caper.

The Flops: Animation and Franchise Fatigue

When it comes to disappointments, animation had a so-so year. Titles didn’t quite connect in the same way as KPOP, with titles like The Twits and In Your Dreams getting below 20M views in their first week. Wallace & Gromit also struggled, though in that instance, the UK was notably not included in its Netflix launch. Adult animated movies won’t be making a comeback anytime soon, with Fixed only spending a few days in the top 10s.

The Electric State probably deserves a mention, although it didn’t do quite as badly as many suggest; for the budget, though, it should’ve done a lot better. Fear Street: Prom Queen also disappointed when compared to the trilogy of movies, pulling in significantly lower views than prior entries.

Finally, we have to look at the data for The Witcher universe, which paints a picture of a franchise in freefall. Following season 4 failing to muster much interest on the TV side, the spinoff movie The Rats scored zero weeks in the Global Top 10. For a spinoff of a flagship IP to fail to chart at all in its debut week is catastrophic and implies the audience is actively rejecting brand expansions. Likewise, the animated film Sirens of the Deep fell off sharply from prior entries.


What’s your biggest movie viewership surprise in 2025? Let us know in the comments down below. 

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